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Predicting risks of the German Bight Coasts under extreme storm events


Project timeline
July 2022
25 months
July 2024
General Information
The increasing likelihood of extreme natural hazards in coastal areas driven by global climate change enhances the need for coastal risk prediction. Within this project, a coastal risk prediction system is built combining high-resolution unstructured grid modelling involving hydro-, wave, sediment and ecosystem dynamics, coastal in-situ and space-based observations, and machine learning techniques to develop and provide health indicators and risk assessments for the coastal and estuarine environment. The system is developed as a generally applicable downscaling framework for the CMEMS MFC (Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service, Marine Forecasting Center) products and will be implemented and validated for the German Bight area. The risk prediction metrics are derived by using the system under different sea-level rise, flood, and storm surge intensity conditions and assessing the structural and geomorphological stability of the biogeophysical environment. The ultimate goal for the system is to deliver innovative solutions across a broad range of coastal related thematic areas such as tourism, maritime spatial planning, water quality indicators as well as shipping and fishing activities by providing consistent, reliable, and user-friendly integrated coastal data products together with a detailed description of their validity range and product confidence limits.
This is a mono-beneficiary 'tender' in the frame of the COPERNICUS-Phase#2 CMEMS services financed by the European Union and managed by Mercator Ocean (FR).
EU-Programme Acronym and Subprogramme AreaCOPERNICUS Ocean
Project TypeCOPERNICUS Tender
Contract Number21036-COP-INNO SCI
Co-ordinatorHelmholtz-Zentrum hereon GmbH (DE)
Funding for the Project (€) Funding for Hereon (€)
Contact Person at Hereon Dr. Benjamin Jacob, Institute of Coastal Systems - Analysis and Modeling, Hydrodynamics and Data Assimilation, KSD, Phone: +49 (0)4152 87-1505
E-mail contact
Worldwide Europe

Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon (DE)
Last Update: 08. January 2024