Publications
2022
- Behr, L., Luther, N., Josey, S.A., Luterbacher, J., Wagner, S., & Xoplaki, E. (2022): On the Representation of Mediterranean Overflow Waters in Global Climate Models. Journal of Physical Oceanography 52, 7, 1397-1413, doi:10.1175/JPO-D-21-0082.1
- Büntgen, U., Smith, S.H., Wagner, S., Krusic, P., Esper, J., Piermattei, A., Crivellaro, A., Reinig, F., Tegel, W., Kirdyanov, A., Trnka, M. & Oppenheimer, C. (2022): Global tree-ring response and inferred climate variation following the mid-thirteenth century Samalas eruption. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06141-3
- Carvalho-Oliveira, J., Borchert, L.F., Zorita, E., & Baehr, J. (2022): Self-Organizing Maps Identify Windows of Opportunity for Seasonal European Summer Predictions. Front. Clim. 4:844634, doi:10.3389/fclim.2022.844634
- Kjellström, E., Hansen, F., & Belušić, D. (2022): Contributions from Changing Large-Scale Atmospheric Conditions to Changes in Scandinavian Temperature and Precipitation Between Two Climate Normals. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 74, pp 204–221, doi:10.16993/tellusa.49
- Meier, H.E.M., Kniebusch, M., Dieterich, C., Gröger, M., Zorita, E., Elmgren, R., Myrberg, K., Ahola, M.P., Bartosova, A., Bonsdorff, E., Börgel, F., Capell, R., Carlén, I., Carlund, T., Carstensen, J., Christensen, O.B., Dierschke, V., Frauen, C., Frederiksen, M., Gaget, E., Galatius, A., Haapala, J. J., Halkka, A., Hugelius, G., Hünicke, B., Jaagus, J., Jüssi, M., Käyhkö, J., Kirchner, N., Kjellström, E., Kulinski, K., Lehmann, A., Lindström, G., May, W., Miller, P.A., Mohrholz, V., Müller-Karulis, B., Pavón-Jordán, D., Quante, M., Reckermann, M., Rutgersson, A., Savchuk, O.P., Stendel, M., Tuomi, L., Viitasalo, M., Weisse, R., & Zhang, W. (2022): Climate change in the Baltic Sea region: a summary. Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 457–593, doi:10.5194/esd-13-457-2022
- Reckermann, M., Omstedt, A., Soomere, T., Aigars, J., Akhtar, N., Bełdowska, M., Bełdowski, J., Cronin, T., Czub, M., Eero, M., Hyytiäinen, K.P., Jalkanen, J.-P., Kiessling, A., Kjellström, E., Kuliński, K., Larsén, X.G., McCrackin, M., Meier, H.E.M., Oberbeckmann, S., Parnell, K., Pons-Seres de Brauwer, C., Poska, A., Saarinen, J., Szymczycha, B., Undeman, E., Wörman, A., & Zorita, E. (2022): Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region. Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1–80, doi:10.5194/esd-13-1-2022
- van Garderen, L., & Mindlin, J. (2022): A storyline attribution of the 2011/2012 drought in Southeastern South America. Weather, doi:10.1002/wea.4185
- Wahl, E.R., Zorita, E., Diaz, H.F., & Hoell, A. (2022): Southwestern United States drought of the 21st century presages drier conditions into the future. Commun Earth Environ 3, 202 (2022), doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00532-4
- Wahl, E., Zorita, E., & Hoell, A. (2022): The Kalman Filter as Post-Processor for Analog Data-Model Assimilation in Paleoclimate Reconstruction. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0454.1
- Zhang, Z., Wagner, S., Klockmann, M., & Zorita, E. (2022): Evaluation of statistical climate reconstruction methods based on pseudoproxy experiments using linear and machine-learning methods. Clim. Past, 18, 2643–2668, doi:10.5194/cp-18-2643-2022
2021
- Abram, N., Kaufman, D., McGregor, H., Martrat, B., Bothe, O., & Linderholm, H. (2021): Global climate goes regional, and vice versa: Reflecting on 14 years of the PAGES 2k Network. Past Global Changes Magazine, vol. 29(1), 59, doi:10.22498/pages.29.1.16
- Bothe, O., Rehfeld, K., Konecky, B., & Jonkers, L. (2021): Towards increased interoperability of paleoenvironmental observation data. Past Global Changes Magazine, vol. 29(1), 59, doi:10.22498/pages.29.1.59
- Bothe, O., & Zorita, E. (2021): Technical note: Considerations on using uncertain proxies in the analogue method for spatiotemporal reconstructions of millennial-scale climate. Clim. Past, 17, 721–751, doi:10.5194/cp-17-721-2021
- Büntgen, U., Urban, O., Krusic, P.J., Rybníček, M., Kolář, T., Kyncl, T., Ač, A., Koňasová, E., Čáslavský, J., Esper, J., Wagner, S., Saurer, M., Tegel, W., Dobrovolný, P., Cherubini, P., Reinig, F., & Trnka, M. (2021): Recent European drought extremes beyond Common Era background variability. Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/s41561-021-00698-0
- Carvalho-Oliveira, J., Borchert, L.F., Duchez, A., Dobrynin, M., & Baehr, J. (2021): Subtle influence of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) on seasonal sea surface temperature (SST) hindcast skill in the North Atlantic. Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 739–757, doi:10.5194/wcd-2-739-2021
- Di Cosmo, N., Wagner, S., & Büntgen, U. (2021): Climate and environmental context of the Mongol invasion of Syria and defeat at ‘Ayn Jālūt (1258–1260 CE). Erdkunde, 2021, Vol. 75, Issue 2, pp 87-104, doi:10.3112/erdkunde.2021.02.02
- Feser, F., Krueger, O., Woth, K., & van Garderen, L. (2021): North Atlantic winter storm activity in modern reanalyses and pressure-based observations. Journal of Climate, 1-45, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0529.1
- Jonkers, L., Bothe, O., & Kucera, M. (2021): Preface: Advances in paleoclimate data synthesis and analysis of associated uncertainty: towards data–model integration to understand the climate. Clim. Past, 17, 2577–2581, doi:10.5194/cp-17-2577-2021
- Jungclaus, J.H., Bothe, O., Garcia-Bustamante, E., González-Rouco, J.F., Neukom, R., & Schurer, A. (2021): Simulating the Common Era: The Past2K working group of PMIP. Past Global Changes Magazine, 29(2), 72-73, doi:10.22498/pages.29.2.72
- Krieger, D., Krueger, O., Feser, F., Weisse, R., Tinz, B., & von Storch, H. (2021): German Bight storm activity, 1897–2018. Int J Climatol., 41 (Suppl. 1), E2159– E2177, doi:10.1002/joc.6837
- Lyu, Z., Goosse, H., Dalaiden, Q., Klein, F., Shi, F., Wagner, S., & Braconnot, P. (2021): Spatial patterns of multi–centennial surface air temperature trends in Antarctica over 1–1000 CE: Insights from ice core records and modeling. Quaternary Science Reviews, Volume 271, 107205, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107205
- Pyrina, M., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2021): Surface and Tropospheric Response of North Atlantic Summer Climate from Paleoclimate Simulations of the Past Millennium. Atmosphere 2021, 12, 568, doi:10.3390/atmos12050568
- Pyrina, M., Nonnenmacher, M., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2021): Statistical seasonal prediction of European summer mean temperature using observational, reanalysis and satellite data. AMS Journals, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-20-0235.1
- Sherriff-Tadano, S., & Klockmann, M. (2021): PMIP contributions to understanding the deep ocean circulation of the Last Glacial Maximum. Past Global Changes Magazine, 29(2), 84-85, doi:10.22498/pages.29.2.84
- van Garderen, L., Feser, F., & Shepherd, T.G. (2021): A methodology for attributing the role of climate change in extreme events: a global spectrally nudged storyline. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 171–186, doi:10.5194/nhess-21-171-2021
- von Storch, H., & Zorita, E. (2021): Revisiting Hansen & Sutera’s suggestion of bimodality in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitude circulation. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, Volume 95, 2021, 101241, doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2021.101241
- Weisse, R., Dailidienė, I., Hünicke, B., Kahma, K., Madsen, K., Omstedt, A., Parnell, K., Schöne, T., Soomere, T., Zhang, W., & Zorita, E. (2021): Sea level dynamics and coastal erosion in the Baltic Sea region. Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 871–898, doi:10.5194/esd-12-871-2021
- Xoplaki, E., Luterbacher, J., Luther, N., Behr, L., Wagner, S., Jungclaus, J., Zorita, E., Toreti, A., Fleitmann, D., Izdebski, A., & Bloomfield, K. (2021): Hydrological Changes in Late Antiquity: Spatio-Temporal Characteristics and Socio-Economic Impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean. In: Erdkamp, P., Manning, J.G., & Verboven K. (eds): Climate Change and Ancient Societies in Europe and the Near East. Palgrave Studies in Ancient Economies, Palgrave Macmillan, Cham., doi:10.1007/978-3-030-81103-7_18
- Yi, X., Hünicke, B., & Zorita, E. (2021): Evolution of the Arabian Sea Upwelling from the Last Millennium to the Future as Simulated by Earth System Models. Climate 2021, 9, 72, doi:10.3390/cli9050072
2020
- Bothe, O., & Zorita, E. (2020): Proxy surrogate reconstructions for Europe and the estimation of their uncertainties. Clim. Past, 16, 341–369, doi:10.5194/cp-16-341-2020
- Carreno-Madinabeitia, S., Ibarra-Berastegi, G., Sáenz, J., Zorita, E., & Ulazia, A. (2020): Sensitivity Studies for a Hybrid Numerical–Statistical Short-Term Wind and Gust Forecast at Three Locations in the Basque Country (Spain). Atmosphere 2020, 11, 45, doi:10.3390/atmos11010045
- Cohuo, S., Macario-González, L., Wagner, S., Naumann, K., Echeverría-Galindo, P., Pérez, L., Curtis, J., Brenner, M., & Schwalb, A. (2020): Influence of late Quaternary climate on the biogeography of Neotropical aquatic species as reflected by non-marine ostracodes. Biogeosciences, 17, 145–161, doi:10.5194/bg-17-145-2020
- Ho-Hagemann, H.T.M., Hagemann, S., Grayek, S., Petrik, R., Rockel, B., Staneva, J., Feser, F., & Schrum, C. (2020): Internal Model Variability of the Regional Coupled System Model GCOAST-AHOI. Atmosphere 2020, 11, 227, doi:10.3390/atmos11030227
- Kirdyanov, A.V., Krusic, P.J., Shishov, V.V., Vaganov, E.A., Fertikov, A.I., Myglan, V.S., Barinov, V.V., Browse, J., Esper, J., Ilyin, V.A., Knorre, A.A., Korets, M.A., Kukarskikh, V.V., Mashukov, D.A., Onuchin, A.A., Piermattei, A., Pimenov, A.V., Prokushkin, A.S., Ryzhkova, V.A., Shishikin, A.S., Smith, K.T., Taynik, A.V., Wild, M., Zorita, E., & Büntgen, U. (2020): Ecological and conceptual consequences of Arctic pollution. Ecol Lett. 2020, Dec;23(12):1827-1837, doi:10.1111/ele.13611
- Klockmann, M., Mikolajewicz, U., Kleppin, H., & Marotzke, J. (2020): Coupling of the subpolar gyre and the overturning circulation during abrupt glacial climate transitions. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL090361, doi:10.1029/2020GL090361
- Matulla, C., Feser, F., Tordai, J., Schlögl, M., Starke, H., Schöner, W., Enigl, K., Chimani, B., Hofstätter, M., & Andre, K. (2020): Stürme. In: Glade, T., Mergili, M., & Sattler, K. (Hg.): ExtremA 2019 - Aktueller Wissensstand zu Extremereignissen alpiner Naturgefahren in Österreich. V&R Unipress, Vienna University Press, open access
- Merz, B., Kuhlicke, C., Kunz, M., Pittore, M., Babeyko, A., Bresch, D.N., Domeisen, D.I.V., Feser, F., Koszalka, I., Kreibich, H., Pantillon, F., Parolai, S., Pinto, J.G., Punge, H.J., Rivalta, E., Schröter, K., Strehlow, K., Weisse, R., & Wurpts, A. (2020): Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards. Reviews of Geophysics, 58, e2020RG000704, doi:10.1029/2020RG000704
- Oliveira, J., Zorita, E., Koul, V., Ludwig, T., & Baehr, J. (2020): Forecast opportunities for European summer climate ensemble predictions using Self-Organising Maps. Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Climate Informatics. Association for Computing Machinery, New York, NY, USA, 67–71, doi:10.1145/3429309.3429319
- von Storch, H., Feser, F., Laprise, R., Stendel, M., & Takayabu, I. (2020): Editorial: Modelling, Simulating and Forecasting Regional Climate and Weather. Front. Environ. Sci., 8:99, doi:10.3389/fenvs.2020.00099
- Wahl, E.R., Hoell, A., Zorita, E., Gille, E., & Diaz, H.F. (2020): A 450-Year Perspective on California Precipitation “Flips”. J. Climate (2020) 33 (23): 10221–10237, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0828.1
- Xiong, P., Dudzińska-Nowak, J., Harff, J., Xie, X., Zhang, W., Chen, H., Tao, J., Chen, H., Miluch, J., Feldens, P., Maciąg, L., Osadczuk, A., Meng, Q., & Zorita, E. (2020): Modeling paleogeographic scenarios of the Last Glacial Cycle as a base for source-to-sink studies: an example from the northwestern shelf of the South China Sea. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 2020, 104542, doi:10.1016/j.jseaes.2020.104542
2019
2018