2023
Hansen, F., Belušić, D., Wyser, K., & Koenigk, T. (2023): Future changes of circulation types and their effects on surface air temperature and precipitation in the SMHI large ensemble. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06704-y Malmierca-Vallet, I., Sime, L.C., & the D–O community members (2023): Dansgaard–Oeschger events in climate models: review and baseline Marine Isotope Stage 3 (MIS3) protocol. Clim. Past, 19, 915–942, doi:10.5194/cp-19-915-2023 Seim, A., Zorita, E., & Lawrence-Mathers, A. (2023): The medieval Moon unveils volcanic secrets. Nature 616, 38-40, doi:10.1038/d41586-023-00850-3 Tim, N., Zorita, E., Hünicke, B., & Ivanciu, I. (2023): The impact of the Agulhas Current system on precipitation in southern Africa in regional climate simulations covering the recent past and future. Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 381–397, doi:10.5194/wcd-4-381-2023
2022
Behr, L., Luther, N., Josey, S.A., Luterbacher, J., Wagner, S., & Xoplaki, E. (2022): On the Representation of Mediterranean Overflow Waters in Global Climate Models. Journal of Physical Oceanography 52, 7, 1397-1413, doi:10.1175/JPO-D-21-0082.1 Büntgen, U., Smith, S.H., Wagner, S., Krusic, P., Esper, J., Piermattei, A., Crivellaro, A., Reinig, F., Tegel, W., Kirdyanov, A., Trnka, M. & Oppenheimer, C. (2022): Global tree-ring response and inferred climate variation following the mid-thirteenth century Samalas eruption. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06141-3 Carvalho-Oliveira, J., Borchert, L.F., Zorita, E., & Baehr, J. (2022): Self-Organizing Maps Identify Windows of Opportunity for Seasonal European Summer Predictions. Front. Clim. 4:844634, doi:10.3389/fclim.2022.844634 Kjellström, E., Hansen, F., & Belušić, D. (2022): Contributions from Changing Large-Scale Atmospheric Conditions to Changes in Scandinavian Temperature and Precipitation Between Two Climate Normals. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 74, pp 204–221, doi:10.16993/tellusa.49 Meier, H.E.M., Kniebusch, M., Dieterich, C., Gröger, M., Zorita, E., Elmgren, R., Myrberg, K., Ahola, M.P., Bartosova, A., Bonsdorff, E., Börgel, F., Capell, R., Carlén, I., Carlund, T., Carstensen, J., Christensen, O.B., Dierschke, V., Frauen, C., Frederiksen, M., Gaget, E., Galatius, A., Haapala, J. J., Halkka, A., Hugelius, G., Hünicke, B., Jaagus, J., Jüssi, M., Käyhkö, J., Kirchner, N., Kjellström, E., Kulinski, K., Lehmann, A., Lindström, G., May, W., Miller, P.A., Mohrholz, V., Müller-Karulis, B., Pavón-Jordán, D., Quante, M., Reckermann, M., Rutgersson, A., Savchuk, O.P., Stendel, M., Tuomi, L., Viitasalo, M., Weisse, R., & Zhang, W. (2022): Climate change in the Baltic Sea region: a summary. Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 457–593, doi:10.5194/esd-13-457-2022 Reckermann, M., Omstedt, A., Soomere, T., Aigars, J., Akhtar, N., Bełdowska, M., Bełdowski, J., Cronin, T., Czub, M., Eero, M., Hyytiäinen, K.P., Jalkanen, J.-P., Kiessling, A., Kjellström, E., Kuliński, K., Larsén, X.G., McCrackin, M., Meier, H.E.M., Oberbeckmann, S., Parnell, K., Pons-Seres de Brauwer, C., Poska, A., Saarinen, J., Szymczycha, B., Undeman, E., Wörman, A., & Zorita, E. (2022): Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region. Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1–80, doi:10.5194/esd-13-1-2022 van Garderen, L., & Mindlin, J. (2022): A storyline attribution of the 2011/2012 drought in Southeastern South America. Weather, doi:10.1002/wea.4185 Wahl, E.R., Zorita, E., Diaz, H.F., & Hoell, A. (2022): Southwestern United States drought of the 21st century presages drier conditions into the future. Commun Earth Environ 3, 202 (2022), doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00532-4 Wahl, E., Zorita, E., & Hoell, A. (2022): The Kalman Filter as Post-Processor for Analog Data-Model Assimilation in Paleoclimate Reconstruction. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0454.1 Zhang, Z., Wagner, S., Klockmann, M., & Zorita, E. (2022): Evaluation of statistical climate reconstruction methods based on pseudoproxy experiments using linear and machine-learning methods. Clim. Past, 18, 2643–2668, doi:10.5194/cp-18-2643-2022
2021
Abram, N., Kaufman, D., McGregor, H., Martrat, B., Bothe, O., & Linderholm, H. (2021): Global climate goes regional, and vice versa: Reflecting on 14 years of the PAGES 2k Network. Past Global Changes Magazine, vol. 29(1), 59, doi:10.22498/pages.29.1.16 Bothe, O., Rehfeld, K., Konecky, B., & Jonkers, L. (2021): Towards increased interoperability of paleoenvironmental observation data. Past Global Changes Magazine, vol. 29(1), 59, doi:10.22498/pages.29.1.59 Bothe, O., & Zorita, E. (2021): Technical note: Considerations on using uncertain proxies in the analogue method for spatiotemporal reconstructions of millennial-scale climate. Clim. Past, 17, 721–751, doi:10.5194/cp-17-721-2021 Büntgen, U., Urban, O., Krusic, P.J., Rybníček, M., Kolář, T., Kyncl, T., Ač, A., Koňasová, E., Čáslavský, J., Esper, J., Wagner, S., Saurer, M., Tegel, W., Dobrovolný, P., Cherubini, P., Reinig, F., & Trnka, M. (2021): Recent European drought extremes beyond Common Era background variability. Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/s41561-021-00698-0 Carvalho-Oliveira, J., Borchert, L.F., Duchez, A., Dobrynin, M., & Baehr, J. (2021): Subtle influence of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) on seasonal sea surface temperature (SST) hindcast skill in the North Atlantic. Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 739–757, doi:10.5194/wcd-2-739-2021 Di Cosmo, N., Wagner, S., & Büntgen, U. (2021): Climate and environmental context of the Mongol invasion of Syria and defeat at ‘Ayn Jālūt (1258–1260 CE). Erdkunde, 2021, Vol. 75, Issue 2, pp 87-104, doi:10.3112/erdkunde.2021.02.02 Feser, F., Krueger, O., Woth, K., & van Garderen, L. (2021): North Atlantic winter storm activity in modern reanalyses and pressure-based observations. Journal of Climate, 1-45, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0529.1 Jonkers, L., Bothe, O., & Kucera, M. (2021): Preface: Advances in paleoclimate data synthesis and analysis of associated uncertainty: towards data–model integration to understand the climate. Clim. Past, 17, 2577–2581, doi:10.5194/cp-17-2577-2021 Jungclaus, J.H., Bothe, O., Garcia-Bustamante, E., González-Rouco, J.F., Neukom, R., & Schurer, A. (2021): Simulating the Common Era: The Past2K working group of PMIP. Past Global Changes Magazine, 29(2), 72-73, doi:10.22498/pages.29.2.72 Krieger, D., Krueger, O., Feser, F., Weisse, R., Tinz, B., & von Storch, H. (2021): German Bight storm activity, 1897–2018. Int J Climatol., 41 (Suppl. 1), E2159– E2177, doi:10.1002/joc.6837 Lyu, Z., Goosse, H., Dalaiden, Q., Klein, F., Shi, F., Wagner, S., & Braconnot, P. (2021): Spatial patterns of multi–centennial surface air temperature trends in Antarctica over 1–1000 CE: Insights from ice core records and modeling. Quaternary Science Reviews, Volume 271, 107205, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107205 Pyrina, M., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2021): Surface and Tropospheric Response of North Atlantic Summer Climate from Paleoclimate Simulations of the Past Millennium. Atmosphere 2021, 12, 568, doi:10.3390/atmos12050568 Pyrina, M., Nonnenmacher, M., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2021): Statistical seasonal prediction of European summer mean temperature using observational, reanalysis and satellite data. AMS Journals, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-20-0235.1 Sherriff-Tadano, S., & Klockmann, M. (2021): PMIP contributions to understanding the deep ocean circulation of the Last Glacial Maximum. Past Global Changes Magazine, 29(2), 84-85, doi:10.22498/pages.29.2.84 van Garderen, L., Feser, F., & Shepherd, T.G. (2021): A methodology for attributing the role of climate change in extreme events: a global spectrally nudged storyline. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 171–186, doi:10.5194/nhess-21-171-2021 von Storch, H., & Zorita, E. (2021): Revisiting Hansen & Sutera’s suggestion of bimodality in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitude circulation. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, Volume 95, 2021, 101241, doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2021.101241 Weisse, R., Dailidienė, I., Hünicke, B., Kahma, K., Madsen, K., Omstedt, A., Parnell, K., Schöne, T., Soomere, T., Zhang, W., & Zorita, E. (2021): Sea level dynamics and coastal erosion in the Baltic Sea region. Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 871–898, doi:10.5194/esd-12-871-2021 Xoplaki, E., Luterbacher, J., Luther, N., Behr, L., Wagner, S., Jungclaus, J., Zorita, E., Toreti, A., Fleitmann, D., Izdebski, A., & Bloomfield, K. (2021): Hydrological Changes in Late Antiquity: Spatio-Temporal Characteristics and Socio-Economic Impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean. In: Erdkamp, P., Manning, J.G., & Verboven K. (eds): Climate Change and Ancient Societies in Europe and the Near East. Palgrave Studies in Ancient Economies, Palgrave Macmillan, Cham., doi:10.1007/978-3-030-81103-7_18 Yi, X., Hünicke, B., & Zorita, E. (2021): Evolution of the Arabian Sea Upwelling from the Last Millennium to the Future as Simulated by Earth System Models. Climate 2021, 9, 72, doi:10.3390/cli9050072
2020
Bothe, O., & Zorita, E. (2020): Proxy surrogate reconstructions for Europe and the estimation of their uncertainties. Clim. Past, 16, 341–369, doi:10.5194/cp-16-341-2020 Carreno-Madinabeitia, S., Ibarra-Berastegi, G., Sáenz, J., Zorita, E., & Ulazia, A. (2020): Sensitivity Studies for a Hybrid Numerical–Statistical Short-Term Wind and Gust Forecast at Three Locations in the Basque Country (Spain). Atmosphere 2020, 11, 45, doi:10.3390/atmos11010045 Cohuo, S., Macario-González, L., Wagner, S., Naumann, K., Echeverría-Galindo, P., Pérez, L., Curtis, J., Brenner, M., & Schwalb, A. (2020): Influence of late Quaternary climate on the biogeography of Neotropical aquatic species as reflected by non-marine ostracodes. Biogeosciences, 17, 145–161, doi:10.5194/bg-17-145-2020 Ho-Hagemann, H.T.M., Hagemann, S., Grayek, S., Petrik, R., Rockel, B., Staneva, J., Feser, F., & Schrum, C. (2020): Internal Model Variability of the Regional Coupled System Model GCOAST-AHOI. Atmosphere 2020, 11, 227, doi:10.3390/atmos11030227 Kirdyanov, A.V., Krusic, P.J., Shishov, V.V., Vaganov, E.A., Fertikov, A.I., Myglan, V.S., Barinov, V.V., Browse, J., Esper, J., Ilyin, V.A., Knorre, A.A., Korets, M.A., Kukarskikh, V.V., Mashukov, D.A., Onuchin, A.A., Piermattei, A., Pimenov, A.V., Prokushkin, A.S., Ryzhkova, V.A., Shishikin, A.S., Smith, K.T., Taynik, A.V., Wild, M., Zorita, E., & Büntgen, U. (2020): Ecological and conceptual consequences of Arctic pollution. Ecol Lett. 2020, Dec;23(12):1827-1837, doi:10.1111/ele.13611 Klockmann, M., Mikolajewicz, U., Kleppin, H., & Marotzke, J. (2020): Coupling of the subpolar gyre and the overturning circulation during abrupt glacial climate transitions. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL090361, doi:10.1029/2020GL090361 Matulla, C., Feser, F., Tordai, J., Schlögl, M., Starke, H., Schöner, W., Enigl, K., Chimani, B., Hofstätter, M., & Andre, K. (2020): Stürme. In: Glade, T., Mergili, M., & Sattler, K. (Hg.): ExtremA 2019 - Aktueller Wissensstand zu Extremereignissen alpiner Naturgefahren in Österreich. V&R Unipress, Vienna University Press, open access Merz, B., Kuhlicke, C., Kunz, M., Pittore, M., Babeyko, A., Bresch, D.N., Domeisen, D.I.V., Feser, F., Koszalka, I., Kreibich, H., Pantillon, F., Parolai, S., Pinto, J.G., Punge, H.J., Rivalta, E., Schröter, K., Strehlow, K., Weisse, R., & Wurpts, A. (2020): Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards. Reviews of Geophysics, 58, e2020RG000704, doi:10.1029/2020RG000704 Oliveira, J., Zorita, E., Koul, V., Ludwig, T., & Baehr, J. (2020): Forecast opportunities for European summer climate ensemble predictions using Self-Organising Maps. Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Climate Informatics. Association for Computing Machinery, New York, NY, USA, 67–71, doi:10.1145/3429309.3429319 von Storch, H., Feser, F., Laprise, R., Stendel, M., & Takayabu, I. (2020): Editorial: Modelling, Simulating and Forecasting Regional Climate and Weather. Front. Environ. Sci., 8:99, doi:10.3389/fenvs.2020.00099 Wahl, E.R., Hoell, A., Zorita, E., Gille, E., & Diaz, H.F. (2020): A 450-Year Perspective on California Precipitation “Flips”. J. Climate (2020) 33 (23): 10221–10237, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0828.1 Xiong, P., Dudzińska-Nowak, J., Harff, J., Xie, X., Zhang, W., Chen, H., Tao, J., Chen, H., Miluch, J., Feldens, P., Maciąg, L., Osadczuk, A., Meng, Q., & Zorita, E. (2020): Modeling paleogeographic scenarios of the Last Glacial Cycle as a base for source-to-sink studies: an example from the northwestern shelf of the South China Sea. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 2020, 104542, doi:10.1016/j.jseaes.2020.104542
2019
Bothe, O. (2019): When does weather become climate? Eos, 100, doi:10.1029/2019EO131019 Bothe, O., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2019): Inconsistencies between observed, reconstructed, and simulated precipitation indices for England since the year 1650 CE. Clim. Past, 15, 307-334, doi:10.5194/cp-15-307-2019 Bothe, O., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2019): Simple noise estimates and pseudoproxies for the last 21 000 years. Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 11, 1129-1152, doi:10.5194/essd-11-1129-2019 Cuesta-Valero, F.J., García-García, A., Beltrami, H., Zorita, E., & Jaume-Santero, F. (2019): Long-term Surface Temperature (LoST) database as a complement for GCM preindustrial simulations. Clim. Past, 15, 1099-1111, do:10.5194/cp-15-1099-2019 Evadzi, P.I.K., Zorita, E., & Hünicke, B. (2019): West African sea level variability under a changing climate –what can we learn from the observational period? Journal of Coastal Conservation 23, 759-771, doi:10.1007/s11852-019-00704-z Gómez-Navarro, J.J., Ludwig, P., Zeiher, N., Talento, S., Parveen, U., & Wagner, S. (2019): A joint effort to bring together global, regional modeling and proxy communities. Past Global Changes Magazine 27, 41, doi:10.22498/pages.27.1.41 Hua, T., Zorita, E., Wang, X., Wang, N., & Zhang, C. (2019): Precipitation variability in the north fringe of East Asian Summer Monsoon during the past millennium and its possible driving factors. 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(2019): PaCTS 1.0: A Crowdsourced Reporting Standard for Paleoclimate Data. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, doi:10.1029/2019PA003632 Krueger, O., Feser, F., & Weisse, R. (2019): Northeast Atlantic Storm Activity and its Uncertainty from the late 19th to the 21st Century. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0505.1 Ludwig, P., Gómez-Navarro, J.J., Pinto, J.G., Raible, C.C., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2019): Perspectives of Regional Paleoclimate Modelling. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 2019 Jan;1436(1):54-69. doi:10.1111/nyas.13865 Ljungqvist, F.C., Seim, A., Krusic, P.J., González-Rouco, J.F., Werner, J., Cook, E.R., Zorita, E., Luterbacher, J., Xoplaki, E., Destouni, G., García-Bustamante, E., Aguilar, C.A.M., Seftigen, K., Wang, J., Gagen, M.H., Esper, J., Solomina, O., Fleitmann, D., & Büntgen, U. (2019): European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE. Environ. Res. Lett. 14 (2019) 084015, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab2c7e Piracha, A., Sabia, R., Klockmann, M., Castaldo, L. & Fernández, D. (2019): Satellite-Driven Estimates of Water Mass Formation and Their Spatio-Temporal Evolution. Front. Mar. Sci., 6:589, doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00589 Schaaf, B., Feser, F., & Meinke, I. (2019): Long-Term Atmospheric Changes in a Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model Hindcast Simulation over Northern Germany and the German Bight. Atmosphere 2019, 10, 283, doi:10.3390/atmos10050283 Storch, H. von, & Zorita, E. (2019): The History of Ideas of Downscaling - From Synoptic Dynamics and Spatial Interpolation. Front. Environ. Sci., 7:21, doi:10.3389/fenvs.2019.00021 Tim, N., Zorita, E., Emeis, K.-C., Schwarzkopf, F.U., Biastoch, A., & Hünicke, B. (2019): Analysis of the position and strength of westerlies and trades with implications for Agulhas leakage and South Benguela upwelling. Earth Syst. 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2018
Andres, H., Bothe, O., Rehfeld, K., Wagner, S., Weitzel, N., & Zorita, E. (2018): An integrated proxy and simulation data initiative for the Holocene and the last deglaciation. Past Global Change Magazine, 26(2), 85–85, doi:10.22498/pages.26.2.85 Barcikowska, M.J., Weaver, S.J., Feser, F., Russo, S., Schenk, F., Stone, D.A., Wehner, M.F., & Zahn, M. (2018): Euro-Atlantic winter storminess and precipitation extremes under 1.5 °C vs. 2 °C warming scenarios, Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 679-699, doi:10.5194/esd-9-679-2018 Barkhordarian, A., Storch, H. von, Zorita, E., Loikith, P.C., & Mechoso, C.R. (2018): Observed warming over northern South America has an anthropogenic origin. Climate Dynamics, pp 1–14, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3988-z Carvalho Oliveira, J., Aguiar, W., Cirano, M., Genz, F., & Negreiros de Amorim, F. (2018): A climatology of the annual cycle of river discharges into the Brazilian continental shelves: from seasonal to interannual variability. 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