2021
Abram, N., Kaufman, D., McGregor, H., Martrat, B., Bothe, O., & Linderholm, H. (2021): Global climate goes regional, and vice versa: Reflecting on 14 years of the PAGES 2k Network. Past Global Changes Magazine, vol. 29(1), 59, doi:10.22498/pages.29.1.16 Bothe, O., Rehfeld, K., Konecky, B., & Jonkers, L. (2021): Towards increased interoperability of paleoenvironmental observation data. Past Global Changes Magazine, vol. 29(1), 59, doi:10.22498/pages.29.1.59 Bothe, O., & Zorita, E. (2021): Technical note: Considerations on using uncertain proxies in the analogue method for spatiotemporal reconstructions of millennial-scale climate. Clim. Past, 17, 721–751, doi:10.5194/cp-17-721-2021 Büntgen, U., Urban, O., Krusic, P.J., Rybníček, M., Kolář, T., Kyncl, T., Ač, A., Koňasová, E., Čáslavský, J., Esper, J., Wagner, S., Saurer, M., Tegel, W., Dobrovolný, P., Cherubini, P., Reinig, F., & Trnka, M. (2021): Recent European drought extremes beyond Common Era background variability. Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/s41561-021-00698-0 Carvalho-Oliveira, J., Borchert, L.F., Duchez, A., Dobrynin, M., & Baehr, J. (2021): Subtle influence of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) on seasonal sea surface temperature (SST) hindcast skill in the North Atlantic. Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 739–757, doi:10.5194/wcd-2-739-2021 Di Cosmo, N., Wagner, S., & Büntgen, U. (2021): Climate and environmental context of the Mongol invasion of Syria and defeat at ‘Ayn Jālūt (1258–1260 CE). Erdkunde, 2021, Vol. 75, Issue 2, pp 87-104, doi:10.3112/erdkunde.2021.02.02 Feser, F., Krueger, O., Woth, K., & van Garderen, L. (2021): North Atlantic winter storm activity in modern reanalyses and pressure-based observations. Journal of Climate, 1-45, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0529.1 Krieger, D., Krueger, O., Feser, F., Weisse, R., Tinz, B., & von Storch, H. (2021): German Bight storm activity, 1897–2018. Int J Climatol., 41 (Suppl. 1), E2159– E2177, doi:10.1002/joc.6837 Lyu, Z., Goosse, H., Dalaiden, Q., Klein, F., Shi, F., Wagner, S., & Braconnot, P. (2021): Spatial patterns of multi–centennial surface air temperature trends in Antarctica over 1–1000 CE: Insights from ice core records and modeling. Quaternary Science Reviews, Volume 271, 107205, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107205 Pyrina, M., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2021): Surface and Tropospheric Response of North Atlantic Summer Climate from Paleoclimate Simulations of the Past Millennium. Atmosphere 2021, 12, 568, doi:10.3390/atmos12050568 Pyrina, M., Nonnenmacher, M., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2021): Statistical seasonal prediction of European summer mean temperature using observational, reanalysis and satellite data. AMS Journals, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-20-0235.1 van Garderen, L., Feser, F., & Shepherd, T.G. (2021): A methodology for attributing the role of climate change in extreme events: a global spectrally nudged storyline. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 171–186, doi:10.5194/nhess-21-171-2021 von Storch, H., & Zorita, E. (2021): Revisiting Hansen & Sutera’s suggestion of bimodality in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitude circulation. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, Volume 95, 2021, 101241, doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2021.101241 Weisse, R., Dailidienė, I., Hünicke, B., Kahma, K., Madsen, K., Omstedt, A., Parnell, K., Schöne, T., Soomere, T., Zhang, W., & Zorita, E. (2021): Sea level dynamics and coastal erosion in the Baltic Sea region. Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 871–898, doi:10.5194/esd-12-871-2021 Xoplaki, E., Luterbacher, J., Luther, N., Behr, L., Wagner, S., Jungclaus, J., Zorita, E., Toreti, A., Fleitmann, D., Izdebski, A., & Bloomfield, K. (2021): Hydrological Changes in Late Antiquity: Spatio-Temporal Characteristics and Socio-Economic Impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean. In: Erdkamp, P., Manning, J.G., & Verboven K. (eds): Climate Change and Ancient Societies in Europe and the Near East. Palgrave Studies in Ancient Economies, Palgrave Macmillan, Cham., doi:10.1007/978-3-030-81103-7_18 Yi, X., Hünicke, B., & Zorita, E. (2021): Evolution of the Arabian Sea Upwelling from the Last Millennium to the Future as Simulated by Earth System Models. Climate 2021, 9, 72, doi:10.3390/cli9050072
2020
Bothe, O., & Zorita, E. (2020): Proxy surrogate reconstructions for Europe and the estimation of their uncertainties. Clim. Past, 16, 341–369, doi:10.5194/cp-16-341-2020 Carreno-Madinabeitia, S., Ibarra-Berastegi, G., Sáenz, J., Zorita, E., & Ulazia, A. (2020): Sensitivity Studies for a Hybrid Numerical–Statistical Short-Term Wind and Gust Forecast at Three Locations in the Basque Country (Spain). Atmosphere 2020, 11, 45, doi:10.3390/atmos11010045 Cohuo, S., Macario-González, L., Wagner, S., Naumann, K., Echeverría-Galindo, P., Pérez, L., Curtis, J., Brenner, M., & Schwalb, A. (2020): Influence of late Quaternary climate on the biogeography of Neotropical aquatic species as reflected by non-marine ostracodes. Biogeosciences, 17, 145–161, doi:10.5194/bg-17-145-2020 Ho-Hagemann, H.T.M., Hagemann, S., Grayek, S., Petrik, R., Rockel, B., Staneva, J., Feser, F., & Schrum, C. (2020): Internal Model Variability of the Regional Coupled System Model GCOAST-AHOI. Atmosphere 2020, 11, 227, doi:10.3390/atmos11030227 Kirdyanov, A.V., Krusic, P.J., Shishov, V.V., Vaganov, E.A., Fertikov, A.I., Myglan, V.S., Barinov, V.V., Browse, J., Esper, J., Ilyin, V.A., Knorre, A.A., Korets, M.A., Kukarskikh, V.V., Mashukov, D.A., Onuchin, A.A., Piermattei, A., Pimenov, A.V., Prokushkin, A.S., Ryzhkova, V.A., Shishikin, A.S., Smith, K.T., Taynik, A.V., Wild, M., Zorita, E., & Büntgen, U. (2020): Ecological and conceptual consequences of Arctic pollution. Ecol Lett. 2020, Dec;23(12):1827-1837, doi:10.1111/ele.13611 Klockmann, M., Mikolajewicz, U., Kleppin, H., & Marotzke, J. (2020): Coupling of the subpolar gyre and the overturning circulation during abrupt glacial climate transitions. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL090361, doi:10.1029/2020GL090361 Matulla, C., Feser, F., Tordai, J., Schlögl, M., Starke, H., Schöner, W., Enigl, K., Chimani, B., Hofstätter, M., & Andre, K. (2020): Stürme. In: Glade, T., Mergili, M., & Sattler, K. (Hg.): ExtremA 2019 - Aktueller Wissensstand zu Extremereignissen alpiner Naturgefahren in Österreich. V&R Unipress, Vienna University Press, open access Merz, B., Kuhlicke, C., Kunz, M., Pittore, M., Babeyko, A., Bresch, D.N., Domeisen, D.I.V., Feser, F., Koszalka, I., Kreibich, H., Pantillon, F., Parolai, S., Pinto, J.G., Punge, H.J., Rivalta, E., Schröter, K., Strehlow, K., Weisse, R., & Wurpts, A. (2020): Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards. Reviews of Geophysics, 58, e2020RG000704, doi:10.1029/2020RG000704 Oliveira, J., Zorita, E., Koul, V., Ludwig, T., & Baehr, J. (2020): Forecast opportunities for European summer climate ensemble predictions using Self-Organising Maps. Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Climate Informatics. Association for Computing Machinery, New York, NY, USA, 67–71, doi:10.1145/3429309.3429319 von Storch, H., Feser, F., Laprise, R., Stendel, M., & Takayabu, I. (2020): Editorial: Modelling, Simulating and Forecasting Regional Climate and Weather. Front. Environ. Sci., 8:99, doi:10.3389/fenvs.2020.00099 Wahl, E.R., Hoell, A., Zorita, E., Gille, E., & Diaz, H.F. (2020): A 450-Year Perspective on California Precipitation “Flips”. J. Climate (2020) 33 (23): 10221–10237, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0828.1 Xiong, P., Dudzińska-Nowak, J., Harff, J., Xie, X., Zhang, W., Chen, H., Tao, J., Chen, H., Miluch, J., Feldens, P., Maciąg, L., Osadczuk, A., Meng, Q., & Zorita, E. (2020): Modeling paleogeographic scenarios of the Last Glacial Cycle as a base for source-to-sink studies: an example from the northwestern shelf of the South China Sea. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 2020, 104542, doi:10.1016/j.jseaes.2020.104542
2019
Bothe, O. (2019): When does weather become climate? Eos, 100, doi:10.1029/2019EO131019 Bothe, O., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2019): Inconsistencies between observed, reconstructed, and simulated precipitation indices for England since the year 1650 CE. Clim. Past, 15, 307-334, doi:10.5194/cp-15-307-2019 Bothe, O., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2019): Simple noise estimates and pseudoproxies for the last 21 000 years. Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 11, 1129-1152, doi:10.5194/essd-11-1129-2019 Cuesta-Valero, F.J., García-García, A., Beltrami, H., Zorita, E., & Jaume-Santero, F. (2019): Long-term Surface Temperature (LoST) database as a complement for GCM preindustrial simulations. Clim. Past, 15, 1099-1111, do:10.5194/cp-15-1099-2019 Evadzi, P.I.K., Zorita, E., & Hünicke, B. (2019): West African sea level variability under a changing climate –what can we learn from the observational period? Journal of Coastal Conservation 23, 759-771, doi:10.1007/s11852-019-00704-z Gómez-Navarro, J.J., Ludwig, P., Zeiher, N., Talento, S., Parveen, U., & Wagner, S. (2019): A joint effort to bring together global, regional modeling and proxy communities. Past Global Changes Magazine 27, 41, doi:10.22498/pages.27.1.41 Hua, T., Zorita, E., Wang, X., Wang, N., & Zhang, C. (2019): Precipitation variability in the north fringe of East Asian Summer Monsoon during the past millennium and its possible driving factors. Climate Dynamics, pp 1–16, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04643-1 Khider, D., Emile‐Geay, J., McKay, N., Gil, Y., Garijo, D., Ratnakar, V., Alonso‐Garcia, M., Bertrand, S., Bothe, O., Brewer, P., Bunn, A., Chevalier, M., Comas‐Bru, L., Csank, A., Dassié, E., DeLong, K., Felis, T., Francus, P., Frappier, A., Gray, W., Goring, S., Jonkers, L., Kahle, M., Kaufman, D., Kehrwald, N., Martrat, B., McGregor, H., Richey, J., Schmittner, A., Scroxton, N., Sutherland, E., Thirumalai, K., Allen, K., Arnaud, F., Axford, Y., Barrows, T.T., Bazin, L., Pilaar Birch, S., Bradley, E., Bregy, J., Capron, E., Cartapanis, O., Chiang, H., Cobb, K., Debret, M., Dommain, R., Du, J., Dyez, K., Emerick, S., Erb, M., Falster, G., Finsinger, W., Fortier, D., Gauthier, N., George, S., Grimm, E., Hertzberg, J., Hibbert, F., Hillman, A., Hobbs, W., Huber, M., Hughes, A., Jaccard, S., Ruan, J., Kienast, M., Konecky, B., Le Roux, G., Lyubchich, V., Novello, V., Olaka, L., Partin, J., Pearce, C., Phipps, S., Pignol, C., Piotrowska, N., Poli, M., Prokopenko, A., Schwanck, F., Stepanek, C., Swann, G., Telford, R., Thomas, E., Thomas, Z., Truebe, S., Gunten, L., Waite, A., Weitzel, N., Wilhelm, B., Williams, J., Williams, J., Winstrup, M., Zhao, N., & Zhou, Y. (2019): PaCTS 1.0: A Crowdsourced Reporting Standard for Paleoclimate Data. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, doi:10.1029/2019PA003632 Krueger, O., Feser, F., & Weisse, R. (2019): Northeast Atlantic Storm Activity and its Uncertainty from the late 19th to the 21st Century. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0505.1 Ludwig, P., Gómez-Navarro, J.J., Pinto, J.G., Raible, C.C., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2019): Perspectives of Regional Paleoclimate Modelling. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 2019 Jan;1436(1):54-69. doi:10.1111/nyas.13865 Ljungqvist, F.C., Seim, A., Krusic, P.J., González-Rouco, J.F., Werner, J., Cook, E.R., Zorita, E., Luterbacher, J., Xoplaki, E., Destouni, G., García-Bustamante, E., Aguilar, C.A.M., Seftigen, K., Wang, J., Gagen, M.H., Esper, J., Solomina, O., Fleitmann, D., & Büntgen, U. (2019): European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE. Environ. Res. Lett. 14 (2019) 084015, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab2c7e Piracha, A., Sabia, R., Klockmann, M., Castaldo, L. & Fernández, D. (2019): Satellite-Driven Estimates of Water Mass Formation and Their Spatio-Temporal Evolution. Front. Mar. Sci., 6:589, doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00589 Schaaf, B., Feser, F., & Meinke, I. (2019): Long-Term Atmospheric Changes in a Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model Hindcast Simulation over Northern Germany and the German Bight. Atmosphere 2019, 10, 283, doi:10.3390/atmos10050283 Storch, H. von, & Zorita, E. (2019): The History of Ideas of Downscaling - From Synoptic Dynamics and Spatial Interpolation. Front. Environ. Sci., 7:21, doi:10.3389/fenvs.2019.00021 Tim, N., Zorita, E., Emeis, K.-C., Schwarzkopf, F.U., Biastoch, A., & Hünicke, B. (2019): Analysis of the position and strength of westerlies and trades with implications for Agulhas leakage and South Benguela upwelling. Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 847–858, doi:10.5194/esd-10-847-2019 Wahl, E.R., Zorita, E., Trouet, V., & Taylor, A.H. (2019): Jet stream dynamics, hydroclimate, and fire in California from 1600 CE to present. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Mar 2019, doi:10.1073/pnas.1815292116 Weisse, R., & Hünicke, B. (2019): Baltic Sea Level. Past, Present, and Future. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science, Oxford University Press, doi:10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.693 Ziemen, F.A., Kapsch, M.-L., Klockmann, M., & Mikolajewicz, U. (2019): Heinrich events show two-stage climate response in transient glacial simulations. Clim. Past, 15, 153-168, doi:10.5194/cp-15-153-2019 Zorita, E. (2019): The climate of the past millennium and online public engagement in a scientific debate. WIREs Clim Change, 2019;e590, doi:10.1002/wcc.590
2018
Andres, H., Bothe, O., Rehfeld, K., Wagner, S., Weitzel, N., & Zorita, E. (2018): An integrated proxy and simulation data initiative for the Holocene and the last deglaciation. Past Global Change Magazine, 26(2), 85–85, doi:10.22498/pages.26.2.85 Barcikowska, M.J., Weaver, S.J., Feser, F., Russo, S., Schenk, F., Stone, D.A., Wehner, M.F., & Zahn, M. (2018): Euro-Atlantic winter storminess and precipitation extremes under 1.5 °C vs. 2 °C warming scenarios, Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 679-699, doi:10.5194/esd-9-679-2018 Barkhordarian, A., Storch, H. von, Zorita, E., Loikith, P.C., & Mechoso, C.R. (2018): Observed warming over northern South America has an anthropogenic origin. Climate Dynamics, pp 1–14, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3988-z Carvalho Oliveira, J., Aguiar, W., Cirano, M., Genz, F., & Negreiros de Amorim, F. (2018): A climatology of the annual cycle of river discharges into the Brazilian continental shelves: from seasonal to interannual variability. Environmental Earth Sciences, March 2018, 77:192, doi:10.1007/s12665-018-7349-y Feser, F. (2018): Constructing Records of Storminess. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science, doi:10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.5 Feser, F., & Tinz, B. (2018): Stürme über dem Nordatlantik und Nordeuropa. In: Lozán, J.L., Breckle, S.-W., Graßl, H., Kasang, D., & Weisse, R. (Hsg.): Warnsignal Klima: Extremereignisse, www.klima-warnsignale.uni-hamburg.de/wetterextreme/ Garderen, L. van, Linden, E.C. van der, Schrier, G. van der, Ganzeveld, L., & Klein Tank, A.M.G. (2018): Stormen van de toekomst. Meteorologica, 4: 4-7 Karabil, S., Zorita, E., & Hünicke, B. (2018): Contribution of atmospheric circulation to recent off-shore sea-level variations in the Baltic Sea and the North Sea. Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 69-90, doi:10.5194/esd-9-69-2018 Luterbacher, J. and Zorita, E. (2018): Spatial climate field reconstructions. In: White, S., Pfister, C. and Mauelshagen, F. (Eds). The Palgrave Handbook of Climate History. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 608pp. Mentzafou, A., Wagner, S., & Dimitriou, E. (2018): Historical trends and the long-term changes of the hydrological cycle components in a Mediterranean river basin. Science of The Total Environment, Volume 636, 15 September 2018, Pages 558-568, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.04.298 Schaaf, B., & Feser, F. (2018): Is there added value of convection-permitting regional climate model simulations for storms over the German Bight and Northern Germany? Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management, 2018, doi:10.26491/mhwm/85507 Storch, H. von, Cavicchia, L., Feser, F., & Li, D. (2018): The Concept of Large‐Scale Conditioning of Climate Model Simulations of Atmospheric Coastal Dynamics: Current State and Perspectives. Atmosphere 2018, 9(9), 337, doi:10.3390/atmos9090337 Tim, N., Zorita, E., Schwarzkopf, F.U., Rühs, S., Emeis, K.‐C., & Biastoch, A. (2018): The impact of Agulhas leakage on the central water masses in the Benguela upwelling system from a high‐resolution ocean simulation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123, doi:10.1029/2018JC014218 Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2018): High Resolution Climate Reconstruction of the last 2,000 years. Chapter 5, pp 123-140. In: Chiotis, E. (2018): Climate Changes in the Holocene – Impacts and Human Adaptation, CRC Press, November 2018, 406 p, ISBN 9780815365938 Weitzel, N., Wagner, S., Sjolte, J., Klockmann, M., Bothe, O., Andres, H., Tarasov, L., Rehfeld, K., Zorita, E., Widmann, M., Sommer, P., Schädler, G., Ludwig, P., Kapp, F., Jonkers, L., García-Pintado, J., Fuhrmann, F., Dolman, A., Dallmeyer, A., & Brücher, T. (2018): Diving into the past – A paleo data-model comparison workshop on the Late Glacial and Holocene. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0169.1 Xoplaki, E., Luterbacher, J., Wagner, S., Zorita, E., Fleitmann, D., Preiser-Kapeller,J., Sargent, A. M., White, S., Toreti, A.,Haldon, J.F., Mordechai, L., Bozkurt, D., Akçer-Ön, S. and Izdebski, A. (2018): Modelling Climate and Societal Resilience in the Eastern Mediterranean in the Last Millennium. Hum Ecol. 46 (3), 363–379, doi:10.1007/s10745-018-9995-9 Yi, X., Hünicke, B., Tim, N. and Zorita, E. (2018): The relationship between Arabian Sea upwelling and Indian monsoon revisited in a high resolution ocean simulation. Clim. Dyn. 50 (1-2), 201-213, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3599-8 Zahn, M., Akperov, M., Rinke, A., Feser, F., & Mokhov, I.I. (2018): Trends of cyclone characteristics in the Arctic and their patterns from different re-analysis data. Journal of Geophysical Research, doi:10.1002/2017JD027439 Zhang, H., Werner, J.P., García-Bustamante, E., González-Rouco, F., Wagner, S., Zorita, E. , Fraedrich, K., Jungclaus, J.H., Ljungqvist, F.C., Zhu, X., Xoplaki, E., Chen, F., Duan, J., Ge, Q., Hao, Z., Ivanov, M., Schneider, L., Talento, S., Wang, J., Yang, B., & Luterbacher, J. (2018): East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia. Scientific Reports 8, 7702, doi:10.1038/s41598-018-26038-8 Zorita, E., & Wagner, S. (2018): Analysis and Interpretation: Modeling of Past Climates. In: White, S., Pfister, C., &, Mauelshagen, F. (eds.): The Palgrave Handbook of Climate History, pp 141-148, Palgrave Macmillan, London, doi:10.1057/978-1-137-43020-5_13 Zorita, E., Wagner, S., & Schenk, F. (2018): The Global Climate System. In: White, S., Pfister, C., &, Mauelshagen, F. (eds.): The Palgrave Handbook of Climate History, pp 21-26, Palgrave Macmillan, London, doi:10.1057/978-1-137-43020-5_2
